Episode 7: On the Money

by aytoanalyzer

It’s too bad I’m not the one competing for a million bucks here, because I’ve got this bitch SOLVED!

Let me back up, though.

In tonight’s episode, nothing really amazing happened, except that Kayla started hitting herself (OMG MTV WTF). Ryan & Kayla got voted into the Truth Booth, which was a giant yawn for us because we have known for weeks that they can’t be a match.

Ceremony time and the matches were as follows:

We know that 3 of these are definitely correct, and 2 (John + Brittany and Joey + Jessica) are definitely wrong, because Joey + Brittany are a confirmed match via MTV hintage. That means that if my predictions after the last episode are correct, the group will get 7 matches correct this time.

And guess what? THEY GOT 7 CORRECT!

This basically confirms that I’m a genius and that my predictions are right. Boo-yah, or some such. But to go back to logical mathiness, since we know 3 of the 7, that means there are 4 correct matches left in the group, with only 5 possible matches to choose from. In other words, tonight’s 5 unsolved matches have an 80% chance of being correct. So our logic puzzle now looks like this:

It’s now overwhelmingly likely that Wes + Kayla, Adam + Shanley, and Dre + Simone are matches. Of the two possible matches left, 1 is correct, and I’m still sticking with Scali + Jacy.

Final lineup predictions, and I’d bet money on it at this point:

Boom! Where’s my money, MTV?

(and seriously, if MBA Wes does not bust out some kind of spreadsheet to try to figure this out in the next episode, I’m going to cry. Where did you go to school, dude? Or is MTV just not showing us that you’re, you know, competent?)